Probability of a wet day following a dry day in the month
The probability is calculated as
where is the probability of a wet day following a dry day in month , is the number of times a wet day followed a dry day in month for the entire period of record, and is the number of dry days in month during the entire period of record. A dry day is a day with 0 mm of precipitation. A wet day is a day with > 0 mm precipitation.